Forex Trading Strategies For Beginners
Which is the best Forex
trading strategy to use ? The problem
that those that wish to learn to trade Forex have is that there are literally thousands upon thousands in of
trading strategies to choose from. However they fall into just a few main
categories with respect to the underlying concept that they use. So whilst
there are many individual trading strategies there are relatively few concepts
that have consistently proved to make traders money over the years. Those Forex
trading strategies that have proven historical track records are clearly the
ones to look at first. If you are looking at algorithmic trading systems then
because of their nature it is relatively easy to demand their results histories
to verify performance – and you should do exactly that. Probably the two most popular trading
concepts are the concepts of breakout trading and bounce trading or mean reversion
trading. With most beginners that want to learn Forex trading or learn to trade
in general the jury is out between the two concepts. For professional traders
the decision is much more clean cut. Breakout trading has a much longer
historically proven track record of working and is easier to apply than trading
bounces. Those that are learning to trade tend to prefer bounce trades because
it sounds quite logical and also most of the strategies being published tend to
use quite tight stop losses which again seem sensible, cautious and appealing. We at pro-trader specialise in trading mechanical trading strategies using
fully automated algorithmic trading systems. Using these types of methods gives
you a big advantage as you can test all sorts of Forex trading strategies and E-mini
trading strategies and get precise quantifiable results. One of the key lessons
we learn from algorithmic trading is that the few “long tail” winners are
absolutely critical to system performance. In English this means that if you
remove say the best the 5% of winning trades (i.e. the 5% biggest winners) most
trading strategies would just be breakeven. In other words those few really big
winners that we very occasionally manage to catch are critically important to
our trading success. So what has this
got to do with breakout trading or mean reversion trading. Well most breakout trading strategies are designed to
catch the big trends i.e. we are trading the breakout in anticipation a price
continuing to move in the direction of the breakout for some time to come.
This
means that breakout trading strategies will, in general, always catch the big
trending moves and hence bag the occasional few big winners. The long tails of
the statistical distribution as they are known. Bounce traders are typically
going for much smaller profits. They are buying the bounce off of a support or
resistance level and then covering the position in anticipation of the bounce
off of the next level up or down. This means that by definition they are
cutting short those occasional few big winners - which we know are critically
important to trading success. Bounce traders will have higher winning
percentages but lower average trade profits and almost always miss out on the
few really big winning trades that may occur only two or three times every year
but are so important to annual profits. So sure by all means in terms of Forex
trading strategies look at both breakouts and bounces but understand most
bounce traders are running to stand still because they rarely benefit from
those really big trending moves. Look at the big hedge funds most of their
results come from breakout trading strategies.
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