What are the strategies of Stock Market Timing Systems?

Some analysts claim that they can time the stock market and only invest during bull markets. The premise is simple: Buy stocks when the aggregate market is climbing and sell at the onset of a bear market. In theory, you can maximize gains and virtually eliminate losses.


Strategies of Stock Market Timing Systems

While some say that timing the market is virtually impossible, others claim such a feat is indeed achievable. What techniques do they use and what proof do they have that market timing is a practical and profitable endeavor?

1. Following the Trend

If the market moves in cycles, then it should be possible to use technical tools to quantify those Stock Market Timing Systems trends and determine with a measure of accuracy bull and bear market stages. A moving average is one simple method to achieve just that.
The moving average is a line that plots the average price of a stock over a set period. A basic trading method is to buy when share prices rise above the long-term moving average and sell when the price falls below.

2. The Revised FED Model

Ed Yardeni, who was the Chief Investment Strategist for Oak Associates as well as a professor and an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank, developed the FED model. This model compares bond rates to equity premiums. While this strategy has exhibited impressive returns, it still depends on the qualitative analysis of many analysts about projected future earnings.

3. CAN SLIM

William J. O’Neil developed a high-growth trading system that uses the acronym CAN SLIM. This strategy dictates that you only invest in the market during bull stages, and utilizes an innovative technique to determine when those stages occur.

But how profitable is this market timing model? It is difficult to tell. While screening for high-growth stocks according to the CAN SLIM methodology is quite simple with software, the analysis of the market is quite interpretive and typically requires a visual approach

4. Short-Term Technical Analysis

Some investors are primarily concerned with identifying large market cycles that endure for years at a time. Yet other traders try to isolate very narrow windows to make quick trades based on mini-market pops and drops which may last only weeks.


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